By Richard Weitz (2/21/2008 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The military conflict in Afghanistan dominated the informal NATO Defense Ministers meeting in Vilnius on February 7-8. Although the ministers sought to downplay their differences and highlight their achievements, it quickly became apparent that their governments disagree sharply over how best to promote peace and prosperity in the country. The chaos in neighboring Pakistan has reinforced the urgency of shoring up NATO’s commitment to Afghanistan at a time when the Kabul government is losing support among Afghan citizens frustrated by decades or war and poverty.
By Erica Marat (2/21/2008 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The new government appointed by Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev following controversial parliamentary elections in December 2007 is comprised of a small group of political leaders whose business interests largely interconnect. About 10-12 high-ranking officials in the president’s administration and ministerial cabinet determine the country’s entire economic policy and political climate. Meanwhile, unlike before, non-state organized criminal groups and their leaders are no longer able to significantly influence the political domain, thus marking a sizable shift in state-crime relations in the country.
By Dmitry Shlapentokh (2/21/2008 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Dmitry Rogozhin, one of the most well-known Russian nationalists, was recently appointed Russia’s representative to NATO, a move understood in the West as an unfriendly act toward both NATO and the West in general. Rogozhin’s statement to Russia’s movement against illegal immigration before his departure, and his clear affiliation with the movement, indicate the attitude toward the West of at least a good segment of the Russian elite. It shows that the elite is clearly disappointed with the West’s approach to Russia.
By Blanka Hancilova and Olga Azatyan (2/6/2008 issue of the CACI Analyst)
In fall 2007, Armenia’s first post-Soviet president, Levon Ter-Petrosyan, entered the presidential race, upsetting a seemingly idyllic transfer of power from Robert Kocharyan to his long-time ally, Prime Minister Serzh Sargsyan. Although the campaign proved livelier than expected, Ter-Petrosyan has failed to consolidate the opposition and is unlikely to succeed in his challenge.
The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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