By Zahid Anwar (4/6/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
With the exception of the Orakzai agency, the remaining six tribal agencies of Pakistan’s Northwest Frontier Province are located along the Durand line and have a direct impact on developments in Afghanistan. Since this British devised system, with very insignificant changes, is still operational, there need arises to conduct an extensive analysis and assessment to judge its effectiveness, validity and relevance in a changing environment. The Afghan crisis has deeply affected these agencies, including through a massive influx of Afghan refugees to Pakistan, Islamabad’s role as the frontline state for the Afghan Mujahideen Resistance against the Soviet occupation, and the prolonged stay of the refugees in the country.By Marat Yermukanov (4/6/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Events in Kyrgyzstan, portrayed as “banditry and marauding” perpetrated by an unmanageable mob in the public speeches of top echelons officials of Kazakhstan, present a striking contrast to the thesis of step-by-step political reform favored by official Kazakh ideology. By all standards, the repetition of the Kyrgyz scenario in Kazakhstan is almost unthinkable. Even fierce critics of the regime admit that a number of factors strongly minimize, if not exclude altogether, the threat of a Kyrgyz-style uprising in Kazakhstan.By Grigor Hakobyan (4/6/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The estimates for the number of participants vary. An article in April 1, 2005 issue of the Armenian Aravot newspaper cited 3, 000 participants, while an article in the April 2, 2005 issue of the daily Azg cited 6, 0000-9,000 participants. Despite unsuccessful attempts by the Georgian police to prevent the gathering, the rally went ahead as planned.By Nazgul Baktybekova (3/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Since 2000, Central Asia has witnessed a steady growth of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The already high rate of sexually transmitted diseases, growing drug addiction and lack of state resources have made the region even more vulnerable to the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Currently, the official number of HIV/AIDS infected persons in Kyrgyzstan is 669, while the figure for Uzbekistan is 5,680 and for Tajikistan 370.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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