Published in Analytical Articles

By Abraham Cohen (2/12/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: The post-9/11 era brought a great reduction of the external threats to Central Asia posed by the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, the Taliban and Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, and contributed to stability and an increased geopolitical significance of the region in world affairs. However, the picture is not necessarily rosy. The economic situation is deteriorating, due partly to low world markets prices for the region\'s major export commodities, but also because of the absence of or mistakes in reforms, and the increased involvement of clan-based politics in the struggles for power in the regional states.
Published in Analytical Articles

By Rizwan Zeb (2/12/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: Last December, a high-level defense delegation from India visited Iran. The Indian team also evaluated the proposed development of a transport corridor from India to Afghanistan and Central Asia through Iran and submitted its findings in a report to the Defense Ministry. The Indo-Iranian defense cooperation agreement was signed on January 19 in Tehran by Admiral Madhavendra Singh, Indian Navy chief and chairman of the Chief of Staff Committee, and Rear Admiral Ali Shamkhani, Iranian Minister of Defense and Logistics of the Armed Forces.
Published in Analytical Articles

By Brian Williams (2/12/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: In 1999, the democratically elected head of the de facto independent republic of Chechnya, Aslan Maskhadov, asked the Kremlin for assistance in suppressing several Wahhabi militant formations based in Urus-Martan and the mountains of southeastern Chechnya. Far from assisting the beleaguered moderate president of Chechnya in expelling such radical Muslim field commanders as the Arab jihadi leader Amir Khattab, the Russians worked to undermine Maskhadov\'s secularist-national government vis-à-vis the Islamic militants. Ironically, when Amir Khattab\'s Islamic Battalion soon thereafter acted against Maskhadov\'s wishes in August and September of 1999 and invaded the neighboring Russian republic of Dagestan, the Kremlin cynically accused Maskhadov of being behind the invasion.
Published in Analytical Articles

By Roger N. McDermott (2/12/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)

BACKGROUND: Conscript service, according to President Islam Karimov, has tended to engender corruption within the armed forces since local officials are placed in a position of deciding \'whom to call for military service, and for whom to extend an induction term, or whom to completely omit, and sometimes for a certain gain, they arbitrarily decide to release someone from the army\'. In turn, this encouraged a culture of corruption to exist within the Uzbek armed forces, undermining discipline, and ensuring personnel upheaval and further constraining the forces\' ability to meet high levels of combat readiness. Reducing the length of conscript service from 18 months to one year, may go some way to addressing its widespread unpopularity amongst Uzbek youth, but it will not prove an instant remedy and it will perpetuate manpower problems, as Botir Mirzamuhamedov, head of the Uzbek MoDs conscription department, acknowledges.

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The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.

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