Wednesday, 17 December 2003

THE 1990S END IN AZERBAIJAN, AS THE NATION MOURNS ITS PATRIACH

Published in Field Reports

By Elin Suleymanov (12/17/2003 issue of the CACI Analyst)

Yet for many Azerbaijanis, the departure of Heydar Aliyev, once one of the USSR’s most powerful men and later Azerbaijan’s strong-handed leader, who ruled the country for over three decades totally, is a turning point in the country’s road to independence and the end of an era. In fact, the death of Aliyev, a patriarch of the region, is in a sense ending the 90s in Azerbaijan and in the Caucasus. With the Georgian patriarchal ex-President Eduard Shevardnadze ousted from office by a younger generation of leaders, Ilham Aliyev succeeding his father Heydar in Azerbaijan, and Russia ruled by younger, more dynamic Vladimir Putin, the region faces a new political dynamic.
Yet for many Azerbaijanis, the departure of Heydar Aliyev, once one of the USSR’s most powerful men and later Azerbaijan’s strong-handed leader, who ruled the country for over three decades totally, is a turning point in the country’s road to independence and the end of an era. In fact, the death of Aliyev, a patriarch of the region, is in a sense ending the 90s in Azerbaijan and in the Caucasus. With the Georgian patriarchal ex-President Eduard Shevardnadze ousted from office by a younger generation of leaders, Ilham Aliyev succeeding his father Heydar in Azerbaijan, and Russia ruled by younger, more dynamic Vladimir Putin, the region faces a new political dynamic.

For the moment, however, as President Ilham Aliyev mourns the loss of his father and mentor, Heydar, his Russian counterpart Putin, Turkish President Ahmet Nedcet Sezer accompanied by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the top military brass as well as the Ukrainian and Kazakh presidents, Leonid Kuchma and Nursultan Nazarbaev, respectively, joined him at the funeral. Also present were Georgia’s past, present and (likely) future presidents Eduard Shevardnadze, Nino Burjanadze and Mikheil Saakashvili along with the leader of the separatist region of Ajaria – Aslan Abashidze. Bitter enemies in domestic politics, they represent all of Georgia in paying tribute to the memory of Azerbaijan’s Heydar Aliyev.

This was in stark contrast to the virtual absence of high-level Americans and West Europeans. The U.S. delegation was led not by the friend of the late President - Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage, but by Brent Scowcroft, a distinguished figure with no official standing. This is unfortunate, because as a leader who made the pro-Western orientation a cornerstone of his presidency, turned Azerbaijan into one of America’s most reliable partners and passed away in a Mid-Western hospital, Heydar Aliyev deserved greater attention from his Western friends. The arrival of Kansas Senator Sam Brownback added much-needed weight to the American delegation, though a difference in presence between the western partners on one hand and regional delegations, including those from Azerbaijan’s uneasy neighbors Iran and Russia on the other, could hardly escape thousands participating in the memorial service.

Does this matter? At the time, when America struggles for “hearts and minds”, it might. In Azerbaijan, attending weddings and funerals is among the most important social functions. Ignoring them is a show of ultimate disrespect. Attendance at Heydar Aliyev’s funeral may be seen as a measure of attitude towards the nation and the region as a whole. This is even more so with Aliyev’s son Ilham standing at the helm of the government.

Consider this: in 1993, Turkish President Turgut Ozal, a prominent and a strong leader, passed away. He was close with President George Bush, whom he counted among his personal friends, and was instrumental in helping the U.S. with the Gulf War. Many Turks expected George Bush to attend the funeral of a friend and a staunch ally. Bush never came. Ten years passed. Much has changed, but the disappointment is still remembered.

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The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.

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