By Stephen Blank (3/9/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Manmohan Singh told the Financial Times that “energy security is second only in our scheme of things to food security.” Thus India’s dependence upon secure oil and gas supplies represents a vital national interest, as manifested in its energy firms’ quest for equity holdings in Russian, Angolan, Sudanese, Venezuelan, and, most of all, Iranian energy fields, or for major deals with states like Iran. Accordingly, in November 2004, India’s state-run oil corporation announced a $3 billion deal with Iran’s Petropars.By Asma Shakir Khwaja (2/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The relations between Pakistan and Central Asia are an intricate blend of economic interdependence and mistrust. They share a common history and culture, and in contemporary politics face common threat perceptions and economic problems. A common strategy to deal with these problems would be significant for the economic wellbeing of the entire region.By Erica Marat (2/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: During his years as President, Askar Akaev has generated both loyal supporters to his regime and uncompromising opposition leaders. One of the sources of the regime’s stability has a combination of political pluralism maintained in the country and the government’s pervasive engagement in the private sector. Situations of semi-democracy such as the one in Kyrgyzstan are, as Thomas Carothers has noted, not necessarily an intermediary stage to the greater liberation of politics and society.By Iskandar Abdullaev (2/23/2005 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: It is believed that by 2025, 70 percent of the world’s population will live in areas with physical or economic water scarcity. Nowhere is this more evident than in Central Asia, specifically in the Syr Darya River basin. The tremendous irrigation development of the 1960s and 1970s led to a decline of environmental flows.The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.
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