TURKISH-ARMENIAN BREAKTHROUGH MAY BE FAR AWAY
By Haroutiun Khachatrian (5/6/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
On April 23, the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of Armenia, Turkey and Switzerland published a joint statement regarding their success in efforts to normalize the relations between Armenia and Turkey. This document can be considered a milestone in the Turkish-Armenian negotiations that began in 2007 in Switzerland, with that country as a mediator, and which received renewed impetus following the meeting of the Presidents of the two countries in Yerevan in September 2008.
GEORGIA’S TEST AND THE ROLE OF THE WEST
By Kelli Hash-Gonzalez and Mamuka Tsereteli (4/23/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Georgia is facing yet another political challenge. In the wake of a devastating war with Russia and continued Russian occupation of Georgian territories, a broad coalition of political parties and civic organizations is demanding political changes in the country. In fact, it is becoming clear that stability cannot be maintained in Georgia without significant reform.
THE GROWTH OF COMMERCIAL EXCHANGES BETWEEN CENTRAL EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA
By Sébastien Peyrouse (4/23/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Taken as a unified economic entity, the European Union constitutes the main trading partner of the Central Asian states. In 2007, it accounted for close to 30 percent of the trade of Central Asia, or a total of US$30 billion, compared to US$21 billion with Russia and around US$18 billion with China during the same year. A breakdown of these figures by state reveals the predictable dominance of Italy and Germany—followed by France, Great Britain, and the Benelux countries—but also demonstrates the rapid rise of Central Europe.
CHINA’S ‘PEACEFUL RISE’ IN CENTRAL ASIA
By Stephen Blank (4/23/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
The global financial crisis has not left China unscathed, but its recent actions in and around Central Asia show that it has the means to turn the crisis to its advantage. Thus China’s “peaceful rise” is giving it hitherto undreamt of opportunities to secure strong commercial and economic linkages to Central Asian states and energy holdings. Neither is this program of action confined to Central Asia.
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Staff Publications
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, Greater Central Asia as A Component of U.S. Global Strategy, October 2024.
Analysis Laura Linderman, "Rising Stakes in Tbilisi as Elections Approach," Civil Georgia, September 7, 2024.
Analysis Mamuka Tsereteli, "U.S. Black Sea Strategy: The Georgian Connection", CEPA, February 9, 2024.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell, ed., Türkiye's Return to Central Asia and the Caucasus, July 2024.
Book Svante E. Cornell, ed., "The Changing Geopolitics of Central Asia and the Caucasus" AFPC Press/Armin LEar, 2023.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell and S. Frederick Starr, Stepping up to the “Agency Challenge”: Central Asian Diplomacy in a Time of Troubles, July 2023.
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, U.S. Policy in Central Asia through Central Asian Eyes, May 2023.